Oregon-Colorado prediction: Buffaloes will stun Ducks again

Oregon has done many great things under coach Dana Altman. Dating back to the end of last year, the Ducks are 21-3 against the spread in its past 24 games.What Altman has never done, though, is beat Colorado at CU Events Center.

Since Colorado joined the Pac-12, the Ducks have lost all six visits to Boulder, with the lone cover coming in 2012. Though Oregon is ranked in the top five, it is far from infallible. The Ducks are playing without forward Shakur Juiston, who was averaging 6.5 rebounds per game before missing the month of December. That could loom large against a Colorado team that rates 17th in the nation in rebound percentage.

Oregon also has had its struggles at the free-throw line, ranking 246th in the nation. With Colorado giving up the 12th-fewest points on a per-possession basis, missed free throws could be the difference in a tight contest.Oregon also has been terrific at making 3-pointers at home, hitting at a 44.5 percent clip. But away from Eugene, that percentage falls to 37.5 percent.

With the Ducks away from their normal surroundings and in a place with elevation, the defense-oriented Colorado bunch has the boost it needs to pull off the win and keep its unblemished home record against Oregon intact.

The play: Colorado, -1

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